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Red86
493032.1
225242.8
408524.2
Blue89
581141.7
14440.9
332420.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102117501502008689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+5Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
73Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
86Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#39
42.80.5
41.841.3
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
red by 1.1
41.71.8
38.336.5
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Second
4930
#27
32.10.5
27.927.3
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
blue by 8.8
144
#18
40.91.1
40.239.1
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Third
4085
#43
24.20.9
24.523.6
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
red by 3.7
3324
#38
20.51.8
24.923.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed