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Red141
822227.1
319335.9
541327.4
Blue79
962217.9
824323.1
37932.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10285406012014016018014179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#7
69Coral points25
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
97Total teleop45
Reef
11L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +62
2Foul points2
141Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#14
35.91.2
34.535.7
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 3.2
379
#12
32.70.1
32.632.7
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
Second
5413
#13
27.41.2
26.027.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.4
red by 4.3
8243
#17
23.10.1
23.023.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End0.7
Third
8222
#10
27.11.2
25.626.8
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
red by 9.2
17.90.1
17.817.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End3.1