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Red131
271843.8
946219.7
642464.6
Blue175
406869.3
452279.7
234118.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13416850100150200250131175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points83
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
75Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#12
8L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
131Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.1
64.564.6
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
blue by 15.1
79.70.4
76.276.7
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
Second
43.80.1
43.743.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
blue by 25.5
69.30.4
65.866.2
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
Third
9462
#23
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
red by 1.6
2341
#36
18.00.4
14.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2