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Red144
324729.0
476642.0
235240.4
Blue162
198659.3
176435.8
156161.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11117650100150200250144162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
33Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
79Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#7
2L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
144Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.6
40.641.2
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
blue by 19.0
61.00.1
61.261.2
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
2352
#37
40.40.6
38.939.6
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
blue by 19.0
59.30.1
59.559.6
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
Third
3247
#29
29.00.6
27.628.2
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
blue by 6.8
1764
#18
35.80.1
36.036.1
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2