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Red199
406869.3
452279.7
234118.0
Blue133
208334.2
1066128.8
555050.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17311550100150200250199133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+78Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +64
27Coral scored#13
98Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
134Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#7
13L3#6
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
199Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.70.9
76.777.6
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 29.1
5550
#12
50.60.5
50.250.6
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
Second
69.30.9
66.267.1
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
red by 35.0
2083
#39
34.20.5
33.834.2
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Third
2341
#36
18.00.9
15.015.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
blue by 10.7
28.80.5
28.328.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6