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Red147
324729.0
476642.0
235240.4
Blue205
406869.3
452279.7
234118.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11117950100150200250147205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+60
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points48
33Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +20
19Coral scored#25
68Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
108Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#15
7L3#6
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
34Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +58
2Foul points0
147Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.8
41.242.0
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
blue by 37.7
79.71.0
77.678.6
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
Second
2352
#37
40.40.8
39.640.4
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
blue by 28.9
69.31.0
67.168.1
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
Third
3247
#29
29.00.8
28.229.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
red by 11.0
2341
#36
18.01.0
15.916.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2