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Red69
234120.1
181918.0
208012.2
Blue64
1066117.5
452317.8
366023.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606440507080906964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
44Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
69Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#22
20.11.0
16.617.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 3.6
3660
#11
23.60.8
22.323.1
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Second
1819
#27
18.01.7
19.321.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 0.3
4523
#21
17.80.8
15.316.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Third
2080
#30
12.21.7
15.016.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 5.3
17.50.8
16.016.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned