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Red128
755874.8
1021824.1
1016724.6
Blue179
403968.6
873114.9
490785.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130196100150250300128179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#23
64Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
78Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#11
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
128Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.1
68.668.5
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
blue by 10.4
4907
#10
85.10.2
84.384.2
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
24.60.1
25.225.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
blue by 44.0
68.60.2
70.270.0
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
Third
24.10.1
24.524.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 9.2
8731
#37
14.90.2
15.815.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned