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Red148
956935.2
587033.5
270258.6
Blue120
686536.3
131049.7
906236.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211890100110130140150160170148120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+18Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points9
29Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
105Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#4
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points2
148Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#12
58.61.9
47.649.5
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
red by 8.9
1310
#27
49.70.6
45.446.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
Second
9569
#24
35.21.9
31.233.1
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
blue by 1.1
6865
#37
36.30.6
30.130.6
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
Third
5870
#42
33.51.9
28.830.7
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
blue by 2.5
9062
#22
36.00.6
34.234.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned