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Red176
18859.8
497652.4
122935.4
Blue198
260937.2
467897.4
747644.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145206100250176198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
22Coral scored#25
79Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
18Processor points18
12Net points28
30Algae points46
109Total teleop137
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#7
11L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
176Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#21
59.81.7
55.256.9
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
blue by 37.6
97.40.4
97.998.3
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
Second
4976
#20
52.41.7
51.953.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 8.2
7476
#19
44.20.4
44.945.4
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
Third
1229
#38
35.41.7
31.733.4
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
blue by 1.7
2609
#34
37.20.4
38.138.5
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned