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Red171
720046.6
495130.9
316153.0
Blue129
956220.5
588548.5
978227.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1409250200250171129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
18Processor points12
20Net points4
38Algae points16
113Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#8
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
14Foul points12
171Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#23
53.02.2
48.350.5
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
red by 4.5
5885
#30
48.51.5
44.746.2
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
Second
7200
#14
46.62.2
42.845.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
red by 18.9
9782
#35
27.61.5
23.625.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Third
4951
#13
30.92.2
27.529.7
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
red by 10.4
9562
#49
20.51.5
19.821.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed