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Red185
270258.6
61070.9
85432.7
Blue107
468829.5
790242.1
78152.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17213650100150200250185107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+56Teleop
+76Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +63
24Coral scored#14
87Coral points50
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
131Total teleop68
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
2Foul points0
185Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#8
70.92.2
64.366.6
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
red by 18.7
781
#17
52.30.9
50.549.5
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Second
2702
#12
58.62.2
56.959.1
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
red by 16.5
7902
#31
42.10.9
41.140.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
854
#41
32.72.2
28.130.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
red by 3.1
4688
#36
29.50.9
29.628.6
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned