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Red229
494686.9
540989.3
747644.2
Blue173
406953.9
78152.3
492047.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245147100200300350229173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +42
31Coral scored#23
110Coral points82
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
24Processor points18
28Net points20
52Algae points38
162Total teleop120
Reef
16L4#12
11L3#9
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
229Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.30.2
89.189.3
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
red by 35.4
4069
#11
53.90.5
52.853.3
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
Second
86.90.2
86.887.0
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
red by 34.7
781
#17
52.30.5
51.251.7
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
7476
#19
44.20.2
44.044.2
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
blue by 2.9
4920
#44
47.10.5
46.046.5
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End1.1