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Red175
720046.6
497652.4
270258.6
Blue197
909863.9
588548.5
131049.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17116350100200250300350175197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points28
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
24Coral scored#22
88Coral points78
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
18Processor points30
12Net points24
30Algae points54
118Total teleop132
Reef
14L4#12
10L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points2
175Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#12
58.60.3
58.258.6
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
blue by 5.3
63.90.8
62.763.5
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
Second
4976
#20
52.40.3
52.152.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 2.7
1310
#27
49.70.8
48.649.3
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
Third
7200
#14
46.60.3
46.246.6
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
blue by 1.9
5885
#30
48.50.8
47.348.1
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9