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Red180
406953.9
78152.3
492047.1
Blue193
540677.8
748048.4
220079.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152224100200250300180193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+11
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave9
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points49
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +17
29Coral scored#21
106Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
134Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#9
6L2#4
7L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
180Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#11
53.90.6
53.353.9
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
blue by 26.0
79.90.3
80.380.0
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
Second
781
#17
52.30.6
51.752.3
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
blue by 25.6
77.80.3
78.277.9
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
Third
4920
#44
47.10.6
46.547.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End1.1
blue by 1.3
7480
#16
48.40.3
48.848.5
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7