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Red251
2056110.7
467897.4
790242.1
Blue216
111482.2
77236.3
61070.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272191150250300350251216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
14Coral scored#8
68Coral points38
71Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +1
24Coral scored#25
86Coral points91
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#9
24Processor points24
40Net points36
64Algae points60
150Total teleop151
Reef
15L4#9
13L3#10
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#7
52Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
14Foul points2
251Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.70.3
110.5110.2
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 28.5
82.20.7
79.780.3
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
97.40.3
97.296.8
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
red by 26.4
610
#8
70.90.7
68.469.1
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Third
7902
#31
42.10.3
41.941.6
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
red by 5.8
772
#45
36.30.7
33.834.4
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6