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Red164
716666.1
131048.8
790231.7
Blue89
260932.6
686521.5
752041.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521325010020025016489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+63Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points42
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
121Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
164Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.11.6
64.165.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
red by 25.1
7520
#20
41.02.4
51.549.1
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Second
1310
#12
48.81.6
45.046.6
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
red by 16.2
2609
#17
32.62.4
37.234.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Third
7902
#10
31.71.6
30.331.9
Auto3.2
Teleop25.1
End3.5
red by 10.2
6865
#18
21.52.4
36.333.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed