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Red203
888465.0
111476.4
399069.6
Blue209
540976.0
447650.2
124178.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24022050100150200300350203209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points49
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +6
34Coral scored#28
121Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
153Total teleop147
Reef
12L4#16
13L3#9
8L2#6
8L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#48
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
203Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#13
76.42.1
81.078.9
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
blue by 1.9
78.31.3
76.475.1
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
Second
69.62.1
68.566.4
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
blue by 6.4
76.01.3
89.388.0
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
Third
8884
#16
65.02.1
73.371.3
Auto17.5
Teleop42.6
End4.8
red by 14.7
4476
#14
50.21.3
51.450.1
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed