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Red115
61049.9
686521.5
131048.8
Blue144
447650.2
752041.0
747533.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413250100150200115144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+31
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#20
44Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
76Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#8
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points0
115Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#19
49.90.2
50.049.9
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
blue by 0.4
4476
#14
50.20.6
48.048.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
Second
1310
#12
48.80.2
48.948.8
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
red by 7.8
7520
#20
41.00.6
38.839.4
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
6865
#18
21.50.2
21.621.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3
blue by 11.5
33.00.6
30.831.3
Auto4.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0