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Red104
999726.1
430832.0
373943.3
Blue152
491757.0
999628.1
503237.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114129050100150200250104152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+36
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
66Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +48
8Foul points20
104Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#19
43.30.1
43.443.3
Auto6.6
Teleop33.8
End2.9
blue by 13.7
4917
#20
57.00.3
55.555.9
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Second
4308
#12
32.00.1
32.132.0
Auto6.1
Teleop24.1
End1.7
blue by 5.7
37.70.3
36.336.6
Auto8.0
Teleop29.5
End0.3
Third
9997
#14
26.10.2
26.326.1
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9996
#21
28.10.5
25.726.2
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5