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Red160
86524.0
78150.6
122933.4
Blue177
270251.4
136044.9
1001521.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311880100140160160177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +24
22Coral scored#24
78Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
110Total teleop134
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#6
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
160Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#11
50.61.2
49.350.6
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
blue by 0.8
2702
#13
51.41.5
49.350.7
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
1229
#15
33.41.2
32.133.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 11.5
44.91.5
42.844.2
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
Third
865
#16
24.01.2
22.824.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
red by 2.5
21.51.5
19.420.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4