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Red178
34059.0
301565.9
672532.8
Blue106
748039.7
909851.2
965910.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16697050150200250178106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+86Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
10Coral scored#5
50Coral points27
50Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +66
26Coral scored#11
92Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
122Total teleop56
Reef
16L4#6
9L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +72
4Foul points4
178Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.6
62.863.4
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
red by 14.7
9098
#10
51.20.0
51.051.1
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
Second
340
#4
59.00.6
55.956.4
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
red by 19.2
39.70.0
39.639.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
Third
6725
#17
32.80.6
29.730.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 22.7
9659
#22
10.10.0
9.910.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1