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Red184
1055441.0
111475.2
18848.1
Blue66
611033.6
356018.0
705817.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17861010015020025018466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+96Teleop
+110Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
9Leave3
8Coral scored#2
39Coral points12
48Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +63
18Coral scored#10
66Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
112Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#6
10L3#2
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
8Foul points0
184Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.21.5
71.573.0
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
red by 41.6
6110
#21
33.60.4
31.731.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Second
188
#19
48.11.5
45.546.9
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
red by 30.1
3560
#28
18.00.4
19.419.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
41.01.5
36.738.1
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
red by 23.8
7058
#14
17.30.4
20.420.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed