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Red113
238630.8
128538.9
91920.8
Blue52
133427.9
762316.9
1053523.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97682040608012014016011352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
73Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
113Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.5
34.335.8
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
red by 11.0
1334
#20
27.91.0
25.024.0
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
2386
#22
30.81.5
29.330.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
red by 7.4
23.41.0
23.222.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
919
#12
20.81.5
20.822.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 3.9
7623
#18
16.91.0
18.817.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed