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Red121
702219.0
316149.4
697838.0
Blue110
201312.1
760319.2
430837.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277050100150200121110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points41
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
78Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
24Foul points24
121Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.5
47.946.4
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
red by 12.0
37.40.5
36.036.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
Second
6978
#13
38.01.5
38.036.5
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
red by 18.8
7603
#17
19.20.5
18.418.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Third
7022
#25
19.01.5
23.321.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 6.9
2013
#31
12.10.5
12.512.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed