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Red125
663226.7
467896.0
685417.0
Blue102
540818.4
495124.5
373938.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147460100200250125102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
60Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
12Foul points0
125Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.5
87.086.5
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 57.7
3739
#10
38.33.5
26.229.7
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
26.70.5
20.119.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
red by 2.2
24.53.5
11.615.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
Third
6854
#20
17.00.5
13.212.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 1.4
5408
#17
18.43.5
12.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed