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Red143
672531.3
122926.7
591240.2
Blue167
490772.0
494038.2
375627.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106140150200143167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+4
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
27Coral scored#18
97Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
121Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#5
5L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
143Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.22.0
34.436.4
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
blue by 31.8
72.02.1
59.261.3
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
Second
6725
#13
31.32.0
30.232.2
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
blue by 6.8
38.22.1
30.832.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
1229
#12
26.72.0
23.525.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
blue by 0.5
3756
#16
27.32.1
22.124.2
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned