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Red35
943813.3
184411.7
263521.2
Blue108
367323.0
95748.5
366352.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5596015035108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+81
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +61
4Coral scored#16
14Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
18Total teleop79
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
35Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#15
21.21.4
16.615.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
blue by 31.6
52.92.6
37.840.4
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
Second
9438
#17
13.31.4
12.611.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 35.3
957
#3
48.52.6
24.326.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Third
1844
#29
11.72.8
18.315.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 11.3
3673
#14
23.02.6
16.619.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed