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Red148
281151.9
59758.7
247143.9
Blue103
75329.2
302419.0
142550.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112104406080120140160180200148103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
66Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
38Foul points0
148Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.6
51.952.6
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 1.2
50.70.7
47.948.6
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
Second
43.90.6
42.342.9
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 14.8
753
#12
29.20.7
27.127.7
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
Third
5975
#16
8.70.6
6.47.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
blue by 10.3
3024
#34
19.00.7
18.218.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned