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Red136
643625.9
645970.2
497219.1
Blue124
643149.1
815332.5
902612.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12372050100150200136124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
21Coral scored#20
75Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
95Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#7
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
136Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.21.1
65.766.8
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 21.1
49.12.6
45.047.6
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
25.91.1
31.832.9
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
blue by 6.6
32.52.6
21.323.9
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
Third
4972
#11
19.11.1
11.212.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
red by 7.1
9026
#20
12.02.6
7.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed