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Red156
32123.9
901556.7
121857.8
Blue156
192358.4
27238.7
83457.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431770100200300400156156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
109Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#13
5L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
156Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.5
55.956.4
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
blue by 0.7
1923
#15
58.40.0
58.758.7
Auto17.2
Teleop39.1
End2.2
Second
56.70.5
54.955.3
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
blue by 1.0
834
#11
57.70.0
58.058.0
Auto10.3
Teleop36.4
End11.0
Third
321
#32
23.90.5
23.423.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 14.9
272
#13
38.70.0
39.039.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End9.6