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Red224
331472.2
171233.5
260771.2
Blue135
164022.1
139150.8
909437.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212129050100150250300224135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+87Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points20
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +62
30Coral scored#14
109Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
18Processor points6
20Net points28
38Algae points34
147Total teleop85
Reef
18L4#8
10L3#3
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
224Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.21.0
67.668.5
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
red by 21.4
50.80.2
50.350.6
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
Second
71.21.0
66.667.6
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
red by 33.4
9094
#26
37.80.2
37.437.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End4.2
Third
1712
#18
33.51.0
28.929.8
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
red by 11.4
22.10.2
21.621.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9