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Red120
518147.5
70829.5
998915.0
Blue181
48443.0
10355.6
437339.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95157050200250120181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+35
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +31
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points68
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
12Processor points24
16Net points36
28Algae points60
97Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
120Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#12
47.50.4
47.147.5
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End3.7
blue by 8.1
103
#17
55.61.0
52.153.0
Auto2.3
Teleop47.6
End5.7
Second
708
#28
29.50.4
29.129.5
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
blue by 13.5
484
#6
43.01.0
39.540.5
Auto13.5
Teleop24.5
End5.1
Third
9989
#29
15.00.6
14.315.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
blue by 24.5
4373
#33
39.51.0
36.036.9
Auto9.1
Teleop25.5
End5.0