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Red208
901556.7
121857.8
999118.2
Blue136
164022.1
139150.8
909437.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712180100160180200208136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+50Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
11Coral scored#4
54Coral points20
54Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +25
26Coral scored#24
94Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
128Total teleop103
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
208Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.4
56.457.8
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 7.0
50.80.2
50.650.8
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
Second
56.71.4
55.356.7
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
red by 18.9
9094
#26
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End4.2
Third
9991
#20
18.22.3
15.918.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 3.9
22.10.2
21.922.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9