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Red135
34163.4
1015720.1
741437.7
Blue143
31654.3
540136.7
253952.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133155050100200250135143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+8
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
5Coral scored#9
25Coral points44
34Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
81Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#9
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
135Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#10
63.40.4
62.362.7
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
red by 9.1
316
#4
54.30.1
51.251.3
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Second
37.70.4
36.636.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
blue by 14.6
2539
#19
52.30.1
49.249.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
Third
20.10.4
19.019.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
blue by 16.5
5401
#14
36.70.1
33.633.6
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9