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Red173
446962.1
669659.5
445048.3
Blue235
95558.7
177891.8
367467.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165222100150200250300173235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+52
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +38
22Coral scored#37
78Coral points132
2Processor algae#2
10Net algae#6
12Processor points12
40Net points24
52Algae points36
130Total teleop168
Reef
8L4#15
7L3#14
7L2#8
6L1 · trough#9
40Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
173Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#43
62.10.5
57.857.3
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
blue by 29.8
91.80.5
88.388.9
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
6696
#31
59.50.5
58.758.2
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
blue by 7.8
67.30.5
66.667.2
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Third
4450
#37
48.30.5
46.846.3
Auto8.6
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 10.5
955
#32
58.70.5
55.556.0
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned