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Red247
255754.7
451260.7
366382.2
Blue167
321857.1
1041640.7
703455.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20214450100250300350247167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+90Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +76
29Coral scored#24
106Coral points86
5Processor algae#1
11Net algae#3
30Processor points6
44Net points12
74Algae points18
180Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#13
13L3#5
7L2#9
6L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
247Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.24.1
75.379.4
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
red by 25.2
3218
#23
57.11.4
55.056.4
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
Second
4512
#13
60.74.1
52.456.5
Auto17.7
Teleop40.4
End2.5
red by 5.4
7034
#18
55.31.4
43.144.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
Third
2557
#30
54.74.1
46.650.7
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
red by 14.0
40.71.4
36.738.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned