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Red104
944632.8
241258.8
357430.4
Blue64
412526.9
297630.3
99736.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271155010015020025010464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
79Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
104Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#24
58.80.4
49.749.3
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
red by 22.4
997
#33
36.42.3
41.038.6
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Second
9446
#34
32.80.4
31.731.2
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
red by 2.5
2976
#48
30.32.3
29.427.0
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
Third
3574
#39
30.40.4
23.122.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
red by 3.6
4125
#50
26.92.4
25.923.6
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed