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Red215
204678.7
363663.9
154071.2
Blue207
36057.2
945082.5
247157.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214202140160180240260280215207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
0Teleop0
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
47Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#30
70Coral points108
5Processor algae#3
11Net algae#8
30Processor points18
44Net points32
74Algae points50
144Total teleop158
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#13
6L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#47
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
215Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.70.1
75.875.8
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
blue by 3.7
9450
#15
82.50.4
76.877.1
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Second
71.20.1
62.562.6
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
red by 14.0
360
#46
57.20.4
60.060.3
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
Third
3636
#35
63.90.1
64.164.2
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
red by 6.8
2471
#16
57.20.4
53.453.8
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned