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Red219
944271.9
36057.2
154071.2
Blue253
945082.5
94845.9
177891.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201231150250300219253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points47
44Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +26
25Coral scored#33
91Coral points119
4Processor algae#5
9Net algae#7
24Processor points30
36Net points28
60Algae points58
151Total teleop177
Reef
14L4#17
5L3#11
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#7
46Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
219Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#29
71.90.4
71.571.9
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
blue by 19.9
91.80.8
90.991.7
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
71.20.4
70.871.2
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
blue by 11.2
9450
#15
82.50.8
81.582.3
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Third
360
#46
57.20.4
56.757.2
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
red by 11.3
948
#44
45.90.8
45.045.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8