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Red86
353213.4
686911.7
923433.1
Blue84
962428.3
353311.2
398515.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635502040801001208684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
76Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
86Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.5
26.728.2
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 4.8
9624
#14
28.31.7
20.722.4
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Second
3532
#21
13.41.5
12.914.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 2.0
3985
#30
15.41.7
11.913.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
6869
#36
11.71.5
11.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 0.5
3533
#31
11.21.7
11.913.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed