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Red124
552835.0
399048.7
544021.6
Blue60
813226.4
29616.0
77008.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9462020408012014016012460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
85Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
124Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.9
41.042.9
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 22.2
26.41.9
21.119.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
Second
35.02.4
23.626.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
red by 18.9
296
#28
16.01.9
19.017.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
5440
#13
21.62.4
16.919.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 13.5
7700
#33
8.11.9
18.616.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned