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Red38
82249.6
399614.2
544320.4
Blue74
910217.5
24428.7
301555.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59980501503874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
21Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points0
38Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5443
#19
20.42.4
16.614.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 35.1
55.50.9
35.835.0
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
Second
3996
#34
14.22.4
26.624.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
blue by 14.4
244
#11
28.70.9
26.325.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
Third
8224
#29
9.62.4
10.78.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 7.9
9102
#27
17.50.9
19.618.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed