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Red69
999316.0
222116.0
940520.4
Blue87
1021720.4
218328.3
375320.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499301506987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
47Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
69Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9405
#21
20.40.5
18.318.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 7.9
2183
#15Sur
28.30.3
29.429.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
Second
2221
#26
16.00.5
15.916.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 4.4
20.40.4
26.726.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
9993
#17
16.00.9
10.611.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 4.2
3753
#18
20.10.3
18.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed