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Red101
998310.4
208030.1
191252.0
Blue73
597117.7
99928.2
361643.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018005015020025010173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
72Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points18
101Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.5
46.247.8
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
red by 8.2
43.70.8
39.038.2
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End2.2
Second
30.11.5
29.230.7
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 12.4
5971
#19
17.70.8
13.913.2
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
9983
#20
10.42.5
2.95.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.7
red by 2.2
9992
#24
8.21.3
7.56.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed