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Red68
648924.7
99826.2
433636.2
Blue131
299249.1
99739.4
804491.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6417505010015020025030068131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+57
Endgame+69
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave0
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points41
9Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
49Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
6Foul points0
68Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.6
33.332.6
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
blue by 55.1
91.21.1
88.587.4
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
Second
24.70.6
24.123.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End5.9
blue by 24.3
49.11.1
46.945.8
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Third
9982
#23
6.21.1
8.27.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End2.3
blue by 3.2
9973
#16
9.41.9
7.55.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned