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Red63
586311.0
36424.7
978729.8
Blue48
303914.9
999316.0
408744.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71820501001502002503006348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
50Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
63Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9787
#12
29.80.3
27.827.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
blue by 14.7
44.51.9
42.740.9
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Second
364
#13
24.70.3
20.820.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
red by 8.7
9993
#17
16.03.1
11.58.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
5863
#14
11.00.3
19.018.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 3.9
3039
#25
14.91.8
21.519.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed