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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42910501001505777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#5
6Processor points0
8Net points20
14Algae points20
28Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
57Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#26
23.40.2
19.419.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 32.0
4451
#11
55.40.2
50.450.2
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
1293
#28
16.90.2
10.210.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 3.7
13.20.2
14.514.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
12.80.2
10.110.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 5.6
3976
#31
7.30.2
6.96.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed