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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5093015024111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+73
Endgame+81
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
12Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points6
24Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.31.7
25.023.3
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 4.0
343
#1
45.31.8
45.146.9
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Second
13.61.7
10.89.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 12.3
25.91.8
20.422.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Third
8137
#33
11.51.7
13.912.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 8.2
1319
#14
19.81.8
12.414.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned