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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315602040801003051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+25
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points18
6Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
18Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
30Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7085
#15
13.50.2
11.011.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 12.9
5130
#17
26.30.5
19.119.5
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
9.90.2
9.19.3
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 14.0
24.00.5
17.217.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Third
3976
#31
7.30.2
6.76.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 5.6
12.90.5
7.78.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed